The Brief - Actelis Networks

  • Actelis trades at $3.8M market cap - half its 2021-2023 average annual revenue of $7.6M - despite serving federal agencies, major telecom carriers, and utilities with DoD-certified, cyber-hardened infrastructure.

  • 2025's revenue trough ($2.3M through Q3) drove the valuation collapse, but Q3 bookings nearly doubled sequentially, a $500K FAA order was completed in Q4, and early 2026 brought multiple new orders from telecoms, municipalities, and European utilities.

  • Mission-critical customers like FAA, Seattle, Washington DC, and major US carriers don't deploy infrastructure casually - repeat and expansion orders suggest validated solutions, not failing pilots, yet the stock trades as if the business is collapsing.

It is uncommon for companies supplying federal agencies, major telecom carriers, utilities, and U.S. municipalities to be valued in the single-digit millions. Yet that is the current reality for Actelis Networks (NASDAQ: ASNS), a provider of cyber-hardened networking solutions used to modernize critical infrastructure across the U.S. and Europe.

To understand how that disconnect formed - and why it may not persist - it helps to look at what actually unfolded over the past year.

The first three quarters of 2025 were difficult for Actelis, and the stock reflected it. Through Q3, the company reported $2.3 million in revenue, a sharp slowdown from prior momentum. During the same period, Actelis completed dilutive financing, which added pressure to the share price and reinforced negative sentiment among retail investors focused on near-term results.

But Actelis does not sell into fast-moving consumer or enterprise markets. Its customers are federal agencies, municipalities, utilities, and telecom carriers—buyers that move slowly, require layered approvals, and tend to defer visible execution until projects are fully validated. In those environments, commercial progress often occurs quietly and only becomes visible later, when deployments begin to expand.

Some of the top tier name actelis has workd with | Source: Actelis corporate deck

By late 2025, signs of that shift seem to have began to emerge. According to a recent announcement, Actelis completed delivery of an approximately $500,000 order from Q4 2025. This order was from the Federal Aviation Administration, supporting air traffic control infrastructure modernization, as disclosed by the company. Around the same time, internal momentum seems to have began to ‘click’, following customer bookings in Q3 nearly doubling sequentially. The company exited the year with a stronger backlog and a noticeably different cadence than earlier in 2025.

That change became clearer in early 2026. Within the first weeks of the year, Actelis announced multiple new and follow-on orders spanning a major U.S. telecommunications carrier, a California municipality, and a European natural gas operator, including both new and expansion orders. None of these announcements were transformative on their own, but together they suggested something more important: repeat business, expanding footprints, and execution across regulated customers that do not move quickly unless solutions are already approved and performing in the field.

Actelis specializes in hybrid fiber-copper networking solutions that deliver what the company describes as fiber-grade performance over existing copper and coaxial infrastructure. Rather than forcing customers to rip out legacy networks and wait years for full rebuilds, the company enables rapid modernization using infrastructure already in place. That approach has become increasingly relevant as governments and operators face aging systems, rising cybersecurity threats, and limited budgets and timelines.

Actelis’ signal processing software | Source: Actelis corpporate deck

The company’s systems incorporate 256-bit MACsec encryption and are designed for mission-critical environments. Its products are JITC-certified and listed on the U.S. Department of Defense Approved Products List, credentials that take years to obtain and create meaningful barriers to entry. Once deployments begin, they have historically tended to expand incrementally rather than churn, particularly among conservative infrastructure owners.

This dynamic is visible in Actelis’ growing relationship with a major U.S. telecom carrier. In December 2025, the company announced its first meaningful deployment of its MetaLIGHT platform, designed to support T1-to-fiber migration as carriers face regulatory pressure to retire legacy copper networks. Follow-on orders announced shortly thereafter point to expansion within an approved footprint rather than a stalled pilot.

A similar pattern appears across utilities and municipalities. Actelis’ recent European natural gas operator order builds on an initial deployment announced in 2023, while U.S. customers include Seattle, Washington D.C., Ventura County, Orange County, and multiple transportation agencies. These are environments where solutions are adopted cautiously, but once proven, often remain in place for years.

In his January 2026 letter to shareholders, CEO Tuvia Barlev framed the coming year as a shift from positioning to execution. He pointed to advancing federal, military, state, and transportation modernization programs, increasing pressure to support AI and cloud workloads at the edge, and rising security and resiliency requirements shaped by geopolitical conditions. Barlev emphasized a focus on converting initial wins into repeat business, expanding deployments within approved customer footprints, increasing software contribution to improve margins, and delivering consistent progress, even as deal timing remains difficult to predict.

For context, Actelis generated $7.8 million in revenue in 2024, roughly in line with its 2021-2023 average of $7.6 million (following $8.5M in 2021, $8.8M in 2022, and $5.6M in 2023). While 2025 proved uneven, the company exited the year with what seems like improving momentum and entered 2026 having already announced multiple commercial wins. As of late January 2026, Actelis trades with a market capitalization of approximately $3.8 million (as of yesterday's close).

Actelis is not a concept-stage company. Its technology is deployed in air traffic control systems, telecom networks, energy infrastructure, and municipal operations—markets that move slowly but deliberately once solutions are validated. After a year that weighed heavily on sentiment, the company has entered 2026 with a different rhythm of activity. Whether this marks the beginning of a sustained shift will become clearer over the coming quarters, but the combination of real deployments, repeat customers, and improving execution has made Actelis increasingly difficult to ignore.

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